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Rainfall forecast

Daily rainfall forecast for your ward

Questions and answers

Where will it rain most in Kenya this week?

In Kenya Met’s forecast issued 5 October 2026, the counties expecting the most rain over the next 7 days are Murang'a (135 mm), Kirinyaga (118 mm), Meru (91 mm), Mandera (81 mm) and Embu (79 mm). The driest are Samburu (16 mm) and Turkana (7 mm). Figures are averages across each county.

Is this an El Niño season in Kenya?

The current outlook: El Niño developing, ahead of the October–December 2026 short rains. For flood and landslide risk and farm advice by county, see the El Niño risk pages on this site.

Where does this forecast come from?

From Kenya Met (the Kenya Meteorological Service Authority), through its Kenya Farm-to-Forecast pilot. The forecast is updated every morning; this page shows the one issued 5 October 2026.