Farmer · All chains · Kenya · Markets · Western highlands focus
Foundations
Core value chain
Cross-cutting enablers
WEEK 21 BRIEFING · FARMER VIEW
Zone B · Persona reference workflow
Your weekly briefing — maize as illustration
The focus map and persona room below show the active Farmer workflow using maize as the reference commodity — they illustrate the kind of decision support each role gets. These do not change when you swap value chains.
Updates with persona only▼ Maize · reference commodity
Focus area · Western highlands
Maize wholesale · 47 counties · this week
KAMIS · KES / 90kg
Maize · KES/90kg
< 3.8k surplus
3.8–4.4k
4.4–5.2k
5.2–6.2k
6.2–7.2k
> 7.2k critical
200 km
Farmer sell-side room · Trans Nzoia focus
Hold or release? Where this week's farmgate quote beats the storage carry.
Western highlands long-rains harvest is arriving. Eldoret farmgate at KES 3,950/90kg is at a five-year May low, but the futures curve shows a KES 350 carry over six weeks — store if you can afford the holding cost.
KES 540
Better than broker
per 90kg bag · Eldoret vs. local
+8.2%
Maize 4-wk
Wholesale national average
9
Markets in deficit
Of 47 counties tracked
Zone C · Fixed national overview
All 47 counties · all 9 commodity groups
National-scale dashboards aggregating across every commodity tracked by KAMIS, WFP-VAM, AFA, NCE, and KEPHIS. These stay constant regardless of which value chain is filtered — they are the cross-commodity market intelligence backbone.
⏸ National scope · constant9 commodity groups
National market pulse · week 21
Maize wholesale up 8.2% over four weeks as Eldoret surplus fails to reach the north; pulses easing (−3.4%) on Bungoma harvest arrivals.
Commodity group price index — vs. 5-yr May average9 markets · KAMIS feed
Cereals+12%
Pulses−6%
Oils+2%
Livestock+19%
Dairy+3%
Horticult.−4%
+5.4%
Composite agri-price idx · 4-wk
Flagship commodities
Wholesale pulse across the basket
KAMIS · WFP VAM · AFA · NCE
Market anomaly queue
Unusual moves this week
Composite indexes
Cross-cutting signals
Trade balance · 12 mo.
Domestic vs. imported
Live arbitrage
Where the spread pays for the truck
9 routes · transport-adjusted · weekly refresh
#
Route
Commodity
Spread
Transport
Net / bag
Return
Risk
Zone B · Persona reference workflow
Growing-conditions briefing — maize as illustration
The NDVI vegetation map and persona summary below show the active Farmer / Trader / Processor / Policy view of the season's growing conditions, with maize as the reference crop. These do not change when you swap value chains.
Updates with persona only▼ Maize · reference crop
Vegetation health · last 10 days
NDVI anomaly vs long-term average · MODIS 250 m
% of LTA · WK 21 · 2026
NDVI anomaly
< 70% poor
70–85%
85–100%
100–115%
115–140%
> 140% lush
200 km
Farmer · crop signals · Trans Nzoia
Your maize is 14 days from tasselling — and rainfall is running 132% of long-term.
Western highland NDVI is anomalously high at +50% of LTA, indicating excellent canopy cover. With 38 mm of rain forecast over the next seven days, expect strong yield potential — but watch maize streak virus in wet pockets. Top-dress with CAN before tasselling.
+50%
NDVI vs LTA
Trans Nzoia · 10-day
132%
Rainfall ratio
vs 1991–2020 average
14 days
To tasselling
From v8 / 8-leaf stage
Zone C · Fixed national overview
All 47 counties · MODIS · CHIRPS · climate signals
National vegetation index, rainfall, and temperature dashboards drawn from MODIS Aqua (10-day NDVI), CHIRPS rainfall, and KMD climatology. These stay constant regardless of which value chain is filtered — they cover the agro-climatic envelope all crops grow in.
⏸ National scope · constantAll 47 counties
County rankings · vegetation index
Counties where vegetation is strongest — and where it's lagging
MODIS Aqua · 10-day NDVI · LTA 2002–2024
NDVI anomaly · top 6
Where canopy is most lush
<70%
LTA
>140%
Dry / stressed counties
Where the green index is lagging
Climate signals · monthly
Rainfall & temperature trajectory · this season
Kenya Meteorological Department · MAM 2026
Rainfall · Jan–May 2026 vs LTA
Long rains delivering well above average
2026 actual1991–2020 LTAForecast (Jun–Aug)
Hazard timeline · 24 mo.
Drought, floods & pest events
MAY 24MAY 26
nonewatchwarningseveredisaster
Crop calendar · this persona
Phenology & action windows · next 12 months
KALRO crop calendars · adapted to region
Last-mile input access · retail prices
DAP fertilizer · retail KES / 50 kg · access by county
Subsidy: KES 2,500 · Retail varies
DAP retail · KES/50kg
< 3.2k subsidised
3.2–3.8k
3.8–4.6k
4.6–5.5k
> 5.5k stockout risk
200 km
Farmer · input access · planting season
Subsidised DAP at KES 2,500 / 50kg is at the NCPB depot — retail is 64% higher.
Through the National Fertilizer Subsidy Programme, you can pre-order DAP at KES 2,500 per 50 kg bag via the e-voucher system — half the prevailing retail price of KES 4,100 in agro-dealer outlets. Lime is recommended for your soil pH (5.4, acidic) — apply 2 t/ha before next planting.